## a graphical approach to bayes' theorem using trees

we use a historical example to illustrate a graphical tree approach to bayes' equation for updating beliefs in light of new evidence

we use a historical example to illustrate a graphical tree approach to bayes' equation for updating beliefs in light of new evidence

I describe how to use decision trees

I describe how to map beliefs to probabilities

I describe the weighted pro-con list

I describe the linear model for decision making

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